Is
Rhode Island “doomed” to being a lagging state economy forever? No, it
is not. To gauge our state’s future economic prospects it is necessary
to consider today’s budget decisions in light of our current economic
environment. Rhode Island is now a
post-manufacturing economy. While manufacturing is still important,
the service sector now provides the vast majority of jobs here. The
education and skills of our labor force (“human capital”) are now
central to our economic future, and innovation is critical. Our most
basic problem is that we have yet to define our dominant economic
niche in this post-manufacturing era. This requires greater investment
in human capital and a business climate that encourages innovative
firms to locate then want to expand here.
Does this year’s budget have any substantial
bearing on these prerequisites? Yes, it does. The good news: It
appears that we are at long last moving toward defining our dominant
niche -- Biotechnology. The budget allows a $48 million bond
referendum for a Biotechnology Research Center at URI, and it includes
$1.5 million to match federal funds to institutions of higher
education, allowing them to pursue funded biotechnology research. The
bad news: While there are a few “special cases” of tax incentives,
overall, Rhode Island will remain as a high cost, high tax state. Our
leaders apparently refuse to undertake the intensive systematic
analysis of our tax/cost climate that is necessary before we can truly
move from our “lagging” status.
What about education? Both the Governor and
the Legislature have begun to question educational expenditure (K-12),
which should prove to be a welcome change. The Legislature, however,
wants to transfer funding decisions for higher education from the
Board of Governors for Higher Education to them, allowing them to
potentially move portions of a very large source of money that should
be directed toward investment in human capital into The General Fund.
If this is allowed to occur, investment-oriented expenditure for human
capital, which adds to future growth, jobs, and makes sustaining our
niche easier, may well end up in consumption-oriented uses, feeding
“The General Fund” for things like operating expenses. Anyone reading
this column who has taken any economics will quickly recognize this as
a major violation of prerequisites for economic growth, Rhode Island’s
“Nightmare on Smith Street.”
So, it appears that we have taken an important
first step – defining our dominant economic niche. Our failure to move
meaningfully to improve our tax/cost structure will make it more
difficult for us to move as far with this niche as we would like, and
should continue to work against us in terms of job growth in the
future. |